Machine Learning (cs.LG)

Abstract: This paper introduces a new neural-network-based approach, namely IN-context Differential Equation Encoder-Decoder (INDEED), to simultaneously learn operators from data and apply it to new questions during the inference stage, without any weight update. Existing methods are limited to using a neural network to approximate a specific equation solution or a specific operator, requiring retraining when switching to a new problem with different equations. By training a single neural network as an operator learner, we can not only get rid of retraining (even fine-tuning) the neural network for new problems, but also leverage the commonalities shared across operators so that only a few demos are needed when learning a new operator. Our numerical results show the neural network's capability as a few-shot operator learner for a diversified type of differential equation problems, including forward and inverse problems of ODEs and PDEs, and also show that it can generalize its learning capability to operators beyond the training distribution, even to an unseen type of operator.

Abstract: A regression model with more parameters than data points in the training data is overparametrized and has the capability to interpolate the training data. Based on the classical bias-variance tradeoff expressions, it is commonly assumed that models which interpolate noisy training data are poor to generalize. In some cases, this is not true. The best models obtained are overparametrized and the testing error exhibits the double descent behavior as the model order increases. In this contribution, we provide some analysis to explain the double descent phenomenon, first reported in the machine learning literature. We focus on interpolating models derived from the minimum norm solution to the classical least-squares problem and also briefly discuss model fitting using ridge regression. We derive a result based on the behavior of the smallest singular value of the regression matrix that explains the peak location and the double descent shape of the testing error as a function of model order.

Abstract: Information-theoretic approaches to active learning have traditionally focused on maximising the information gathered about the model parameters, most commonly by optimising the BALD score. We highlight that this can be suboptimal from the perspective of predictive performance. For example, BALD lacks a notion of an input distribution and so is prone to prioritise data of limited relevance. To address this we propose the expected predictive information gain (EPIG), an acquisition function that measures information gain in the space of predictions rather than parameters. We find that using EPIG leads to stronger predictive performance compared with BALD across a range of datasets and models, and thus provides an appealing drop-in replacement.

Abstract: The theoretical structure of deep neural network (DNN) has been clarified gradually. Imaizumi-Fukumizu (2019) and Suzuki (2019) clarified that the learning ability of DNN is superior to the previous theories when the target function is non-smooth functions. However, as far as the author is aware, none of the numerous works to date attempted to mathematically investigate what kind of DNN architectures really induce pointwise convergence of gradient descent (without any statistical argument), and this attempt seems to be closer to the practical DNNs. In this paper we restrict target functions to non-smooth indicator functions, and construct a deep neural network inducing pointwise convergence provided by mini-batch gradient descent process in ReLU-DNN.

Abstract: This paper presents a framework for learning player embeddings in competitive games and events. Players and their win-loss relationships are modeled as a skill gap graph, which is an undirected weighted graph. The player embeddings are learned from the graph using a random walk-based graph embedding method and can reflect the relative skill levels among players. Embeddings are low-dimensional vector representations that can be conveniently applied to subsequent tasks while still preserving the topological relationships in a graph. In the latter part of this paper, Graphical Elo (GElo) is introduced as an application of player embeddings when rating player skills. GElo is an extension of the classic Elo rating system. It constructs a skill gap graph based on player match histories and learns player embeddings from it. Afterward, the rating scores that were calculated by Elo are adjusted according to player activeness and cosine similarities among player embeddings. GElo can be executed offline and in parallel, and it is non-intrusive to existing rating systems. Experiments on public datasets show that GElo makes a more reliable evaluation of player skill levels than vanilla Elo. The experimental results suggest potential applications of player embeddings in competitive games and events.

Abstract: Predicting pedestrian behavior when interacting with vehicles is one of the most critical challenges in the field of automated driving. Pedestrian crossing behavior is influenced by various interaction factors, including time to arrival, pedestrian waiting time, the presence of zebra crossing, and the properties and personality traits of both pedestrians and drivers. However, these factors have not been fully explored for use in predicting interaction outcomes. In this paper, we use machine learning to predict pedestrian crossing behavior including pedestrian crossing decision, crossing initiation time (CIT), and crossing duration (CD) when interacting with vehicles at unsignalized crossings. Distributed simulator data are utilized for predicting and analyzing the interaction factors. Compared with the logistic regression baseline model, our proposed neural network model improves the prediction accuracy and F1 score by 4.46% and 3.23%, respectively. Our model also reduces the root mean squared error (RMSE) for CIT and CD by 21.56% and 30.14% compared with the linear regression model. Additionally, we have analyzed the importance of interaction factors, and present the results of models using fewer factors. This provides information for model selection in different scenarios with limited input features.

Abstract: The linearized-Laplace approximation (LLA) has been shown to be effective and efficient in constructing Bayesian neural networks. It is theoretically compelling since it can be seen as a Gaussian process posterior with the mean function given by the neural network's maximum-a-posteriori predictive function and the covariance function induced by the empirical neural tangent kernel. However, while its efficacy has been studied in large-scale tasks like image classification, it has not been studied in sequential decision-making problems like Bayesian optimization where Gaussian processes -- with simple mean functions and kernels such as the radial basis function -- are the de-facto surrogate models. In this work, we study the usefulness of the LLA in Bayesian optimization and highlight its strong performance and flexibility. However, we also present some pitfalls that might arise and a potential problem with the LLA when the search space is unbounded.

Abstract: Energy management systems (EMS) have classically been implemented based on rule-based control (RBC) and model predictive control (MPC) methods. Recent research are investigating reinforcement learning (RL) as a new promising approach. This paper introduces TreeC, a machine learning method that uses the metaheuristic algorithm covariance matrix adaptation evolution strategy (CMA-ES) to generate an interpretable EMS modeled as a decision tree. This method learns the decision strategy of the EMS based on historical data contrary to RBC and MPC approaches that are typically considered as non adaptive solutions. The decision strategy of the EMS is modeled as a decision tree and is thus interpretable contrary to RL which mainly uses black-box models (e.g. neural networks). The TreeC method is compared to RBC, MPC and RL strategies in two study cases taken from literature: (1) an electric grid case and (2) a household heating case. The results show that TreeC obtains close performances than MPC with perfect forecast in both cases and obtains similar performances to RL in the electrical grid case and outperforms RL in the household heating case. TreeC demonstrates a performant application of machine learning for energy management systems that is also fully interpretable.

Abstract: For many AI systems, concept drift detection is crucial to ensure the systems reliability. These systems often have to deal with large amounts of data or react in real time. Thus, drift detectors must meet computational requirements or constraints with a comprehensive performance evaluation. However, so far, the focus of developing drift detectors is on detection quality, e.g.~accuracy, but not on computational performance, such as running time. We show that the previous works consider computational performance only as a secondary objective and do not have a benchmark for such evaluation. Hence, we propose a novel benchmark suite for drift detectors that accounts both detection quality and computational performance to ensure a detector's applicability in various AI systems. In this work, we focus on unsupervised drift detectors that are not restricted to the availability of labeled data and thus being widely applicable. Our benchmark suite supports configurable synthetic and real world data streams. Moreover, it provides means for simulating a machine learning model's output to unify the performance evaluation across different drift detectors. This allows a fair and comprehensive comparison of drift detectors proposed in related work. Our benchmark suite is integrated in the existing framework, Massive Online Analysis (MOA). To evaluate our benchmark suite's capability, we integrate two representative unsupervised drift detectors. Our work enables the scientific community to achieve a baseline for unsupervised drift detectors with respect to both detection quality and computational performance.

Abstract: In this paper, we propose a Vision-Audio-Language Omni-peRception pretraining model (VALOR) for multi-modal understanding and generation. Different from widely-studied vision-language pretraining models, VALOR jointly models relationships of vision, audio and language in an end-to-end manner. It contains three separate encoders for single modality representations, and a decoder for multimodal conditional text generation. We design two pretext tasks to pretrain VALOR model, including Multimodal Grouping Alignment (MGA) and Multimodal Grouping Captioning (MGC). MGA projects vision, language and audio to the same common space, building vision-language, audio-language and audiovisual-language alignment simultaneously. MGC learns how to generate text tokens in conditions of vision, audio or their both. To promote vision-audio-language pretraining research, we construct a large-scale high-quality tri-modality dataset named VALOR-1M, which contains 1M audiable videos with human annotated audiovisual captions. Extensive experiments show that VALOR can learn strong multimodal correlations and be generalized to various downstream tasks (e.g., retrieval, captioning and question answering), with different input modalities (e.g., vision-language, audio-language and audiovisual-language). VALOR achieves new state-of-the-art performances on series of public cross-modality benchmarks. Code and data are available at project page https://casia-iva-group.github.io/projects/VALOR.

Abstract: Advances in artificial intelligence need to become more resource-aware and sustainable. This requires clear assessment and reporting of energy efficiency trade-offs, like sacrificing fast running time for higher predictive performance. While first methods for investigating efficiency have been proposed, we still lack comprehensive results for popular methods and data sets. In this work, we attempt to fill this information gap by providing empiric insights for popular AI benchmarks, with a total of 100 experiments. Our findings are evidence of how different data sets all have their own efficiency landscape, and show that methods can be more or less likely to act efficiently.

Abstract: The development of machine learning algorithms has been gathering relevance to address the increasing modelling complexity of manufacturing decision-making problems. Reinforcement learning is a methodology with great potential due to the reduced need for previous training data, i.e., the system learns along time with actual operation. This study focuses on the implementation of a reinforcement learning algorithm in an assembly problem of a given object, aiming to identify the effectiveness of the proposed approach in the optimisation of the assembly process time. A model-free Q-Learning algorithm is applied, considering the learning of a matrix of Q-values (Q-table) from the successive interactions with the environment to suggest an assembly sequence solution. This implementation explores three scenarios with increasing complexity so that the impact of the Q-Learning\textsc's parameters and rewards is assessed to improve the reinforcement learning agent performance. The optimisation approach achieved very promising results by learning the optimal assembly sequence 98.3% of the times.

Abstract: Decision Transformers (DT) have demonstrated strong performances in offline reinforcement learning settings, but quickly adapting to unseen novel tasks remains challenging. To address this challenge, we propose a new framework, called Hyper-Decision Transformer (HDT), that can generalize to novel tasks from a handful of demonstrations in a data- and parameter-efficient manner. To achieve such a goal, we propose to augment the base DT with an adaptation module, whose parameters are initialized by a hyper-network. When encountering unseen tasks, the hyper-network takes a handful of demonstrations as inputs and initializes the adaptation module accordingly. This initialization enables HDT to efficiently adapt to novel tasks by only fine-tuning the adaptation module. We validate HDT's generalization capability on object manipulation tasks. We find that with a single expert demonstration and fine-tuning only 0.5% of DT parameters, HDT adapts faster to unseen tasks than fine-tuning the whole DT model. Finally, we explore a more challenging setting where expert actions are not available, and we show that HDT outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in terms of task success rates by a large margin.