Twenty-five years of XMM-Newton EPIC-MOS2 Unfocused Particle Background: Solar Cycle Modulation, Galactic Cosmic-Ray Correlation, and Implications for NewAthena

Twenty-five years of XMM-Newton EPIC-MOS2 Unfocused Particle Background: Solar Cycle Modulation, Galactic Cosmic-Ray Correlation, and Implications for NewAthena
B. Vaia, F. Gastaldello, S. Molendi, I. Bartalucci, M. Balboni, S. Ghizzardi, L. Lovisari, M. Marelli, M. Rossetti, A. Tiengo, C. Macculi, S. Lotti, V. Fioretti, T. Mineo, G. Schellenberger, C. E. Grant
AbstractWe present a study of the unfocused particle-induced background measured by the XMM-Newton EPIC-MOS2 detector, extending previous analyses to the end of 2025 and covering approximately twenty-five years of observations. Using out-of-field-of-view (outFOV) data, we investigate the long-term evolution of the particle background over two complete solar cycles and compare it with independent tracers of the Galactic cosmic-rays. We find an extremely tight correlation between the MOS2 outFOV count rate and the AMS proton flux, with an intrinsic scatter of only about 1.1\%, confirming that variations in the unfocused background are primarily driven by changes in the Galactic cosmic-rays flux. The extended temporal baseline clearly reveals the modulation associated with the solar cycle and the characteristic signatures of the 22 year Hale cycle. A Lomb-Scargle analysis identifies a dominant periodicity at 11.28 yr, while structure-function and wavelet analyses reveal a persistent $\sim$27 day modulation associated with solar rotation. We also confirm the presence of a residual background component that does not scale with the Galactic cosmic-ray flux, consistent with previous studies and possibly associated with Compton-scattered high-energy X-ray photons. This work places the particle-induced background measured by the XMM-Newton EPIC-MOS2 detector in the broader context of Galactic cosmic-ray studies, while also providing direct implications for the development of background-monitoring and mitigation strategies for future X-ray missions such as \textit{NewAthena}.