Theophilus Amaefuna, Hitesh Vaidya, Anshuman Chhabra, Ankur Mali

Layer-wise capacity in large language models is highly non-uniform: some layers contribute disproportionately to loss reduction while others are near-redundant. Existing methods for exploiting this non-uniformity, such as influence-function-based layer scoring, produce sensitivity estimates but offer no principled mechanism for translating them into allocation or pruning decisions under hardware constraints. We address this gap with a unified, curvature-aware framework grounded in the Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle. Our central quantity is the curvature-adjusted layer gain $ζ_k^2 = g_k^\top \widetilde{H}_{kk}^{-1} g_k$, which we show equals twice the maximal second-order reduction in empirical risk achievable by updating layer $k$ alone, and which strictly dominates gradient-norm-based scores by incorporating local curvature. Normalizing these gains into layer quality scores $q_k$, we formulate two convex MDL programs: a capacity allocation program that distributes expert slots or LoRA rank preferentially to high-curvature layers under diminishing returns, and a pruning program that concentrates sparsity on low-gain layers while protecting high-gain layers from degradation. Both programs admit unique closed-form solutions parameterized by a single dual variable, computable in $O(K \log 1/\varepsilon)$ via bisection. We prove an $O(δ^2)$ transfer regret bound showing that source-domain allocations remain near-optimal on target tasks when curvature scores drift by $δ$, with explicit constants tied to the condition number of the target program. Together, these results elevate layer-wise capacity optimization from an empirical heuristic to a theoretically grounded, computationally efficient framework with provable optimality and generalization guarantees.